Completed Thesis Projects

Resiliency of the California Milk and Dairy Industry by Robert G. Alexander


Category: ThesisStudents
Posted by: ned
Resiliency of the California Milk and Dairy Industry by Robert G. Alexander

Rob completed his masters thesis at NPS in the fall of 2011.  His work concentrated on modeling the milk supply in California.  The abstract of his thesis is as follows.

We model the milk and dairy industry in California focusing on the production,processing, and distribution of bulk milk at the county level. We analyze the sensitivity ofthis industry when faced with worst-case disruptions, where a “worst-case” disruptioncorresponds to the greatest shortage of milk supply throughout California. The majorhighways in California are used to connect all of the counties and illustrate where thebulk milk is moving. We utilize Attacker-Defender (AD) modeling techniques todetermine where worst-case disruptions occur. This reveals vulnerabilities within themilk and dairy industry. We examine three specific scenarios: (1) a quarantine of eachcounty due to a Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD) outbreak or any other event that wouldcause the complete stoppage of production, processing and movement of milk in a countyover a seven day period; (2) 1 to 15 attacks on the milk and dairy industry in a 45 daytime period; and (3) the isolation of Northern and Southern California over a seven daytime period that could be caused by a natural disaster.

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